Box Office Preview: ‘Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles’ Aims for $35 Million Debut, ‘The Meg 2’ Swimming to $30 Million

Leonardo, Donatello, Raphael and Michelangeloare facing off against Barbie and Ken at the box office.

Paramounts animated adventure Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem is projected to pick up $35 million to $45 million in its first five days of release. But those ticket sales wont be enough to dethrone Barbie, which is expected to top the box office for a third weekend in a row.

Greta Gerwigs colorful fantasy comedy is eyeing $45 million to $50 million between Friday and Sunday, another huge result for the plastic fantastic blockbuster. Its already the second-highest grossing movie of the year with $381.6 million in North America.

TMNT opens nationwide on Wednesday, two days ahead of another newcomer, the Warner Bros. shark sequel Meg 2: The Trench. Those films will vie for second place alongside Christopher Nolans historical drama Oppenheimer, now in its third weekend of release.

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles already collected $3.85 million from Tuesdays preview screenings. The PG film cost $70 million, which is less than recent animated offerings such as Pixars $200 million-budgeted Elemental and Sonys $100 million-budgeted Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse. Still, Mutant Mayhem needs to stick around in theaters beyond opening weekend to justify the production budget. With great reviews and positive word-of-mouth, the movie is hoping to benefit from kids who are out of school for summer vacation.

Paramount Pictures and Nickelodeon Movies seem to have faith in the film, since they are already developing a sequel, as well as a two-season Paramount+ series that will serve as a bridge between the big screen adventures.

Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg, the creative team behind Superbad, wrote and produced Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles. Jeff Rowe, the filmmaker of the Oscar-nominated The Mitchells vs. the Machines, directed the film, which follows the Turtle brothers, who set out to conquer the streets of New York City after spending years sheltered from the human world. The sprawling voice cast includes Hannibal Buress, Rose Byrne, John Cena, Jackie Chan and Ice Cube.

Meg 2: The Trench is targeting $25 million to $30 million in its debut. Those estimates are a significant drop from the first film, which opened to $45 million in the pre-pandemic era. The Meg became a surprise smash with $145 million in North America and $530.5 million globally. The follow-up film cost $130 million, so Warner Bros. is banking on another strong turnout at the international box office.

Ben Wheatley directed the sequel, which again stars Jason Statham and centers on a group of scientists who travel to the depths of the ocean and must fend off a 75-foot-long behemoth known as a megalodon and other terrifying sea creatures.

Oppenheimer, meanwhile, looks to add $23 million to $26 million in its third outing. The film has earned $181 million at the domestic box office and $419 million at the global box office, a mammoth result for a three-hour biopic thats heavy on dialogue and light on action. It has already outperformed the lifetime grosses of two prior Nolan efforts, Tenet ($365 million) and Batman Begins ($373 million).